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Euro Hits 12 Week High
July 29, 2010   21:11


The euro rose to its highest level since the region’s $1 trillion bailout was announced on May 10 as concern the U.S. recovery is slowing. Market participants said demand for euros from an Asian central bank in early European trade had sparked wider demand for the single currency, helping push the dollar to a three-month low versus a currency basket.

Data showing a slide in Germany's jobless rate in July and a rise in euro zone economic sentiment this month also helped to support the single currency. An index of executive and consumer sentiment in the 16 euro nations increased to 101.3 from 99 in June, the European Commission in Brussels said today. That’s the highest since March 2008. The number of people out of work in Germany fell a seasonally adjusted 20,000 to 3.21 million, the lowest since November 2008, the Federal Labor Agency said. Stop-loss orders in the euro triggered above $1.3050 accelerated gains the currency's gains, market players said. Some in the market said California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger's announcement that the state was in a state of emergency over its finances was another reason to dump the dollar as it highlighted the fiscal problems in the country.
 

Analysts said investors who had been wary of buying the euro before last week's bank stress test results were picking up the single currency again before the month ends, while ongoing short covering would also work in the euro's favor. At the same time, Citi analysts said investors would sell dollars before the end of the month to hedge the currency exposure on their holdings of U.S. assets.

Economists say data released tomorrow will show slowing U.S. gross domestic product growth. “The U.S. economy appears to be losing momentum, and that’s supporting the euro,” said Lee Hardman, a currency strategist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in London. “Conditions following the stress tests have become more supportive for risk assets. That’s detrimental for safe-haven currencies.” “Sentiment is beginning to build that the U.S. economy is slowing as stimulus measures are being removed,” said Neil Mellor, a currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp. in London. “The U.S. is in a precarious position, fiscally speaking. There’s a steady drip of negative news that’s pushing people away from the dollar.”

 

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